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Gold hits fresh record above $5,100 on geopolitical stress, weaker dollar and ETF inflows

BusinessGold hits fresh record above $5,100 on geopolitical stress, weaker dollar and ETF inflows

Gold surged to a new all-time high above $5,100 an ounce on Monday, extending a historic rally as investors piled into safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical tension, a softer US dollar, and renewed momentum buying across precious metals.

Spot gold climbed as high as $5,110.50 before easing slightly, while US gold futures settled above $5,080. The move marks another explosive leg higher after gold’s exceptional performance last year and adds to a strong start for 2026, with traders increasingly treating the metal as a hedge against both political risk and financial volatility.

Market uncertainty has been amplified by fresh trade and geopolitical shocks. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on Canada tied to Ottawa’s approach toward China, adding to investor anxiety around global trade flows. At the same time, markets have been watching currency volatility closely, with renewed attention on whether US and Japanese authorities could coordinate to calm sharp moves in the yen.

Investor demand is also being reinforced by longer-term structural buying. One factor supporting prices has been continued central bank accumulation as countries diversify reserves, while physically backed gold ETFs have seen inflows return after periods of slower demand.

“Gold prices continue to be supported by elevated geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Central banks remain strong buyers as they diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar,” said Ryan McIntyre, president at Sprott Inc. “In addition, investor inflows into physically backed exchange-traded funds have resumed, with holdings up approximately 20% year over year,” McIntyre added.

Another driver is the shifting outlook for monetary policy and rates. Lower yields generally make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive, and investors are watching this week’s Federal Reserve meeting closely for any clues about the path ahead. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady, but political pressure and broader market tension have kept safe-haven demand elevated.

“For precious metals this year, the major drivers are going to be “Trump and Trump,” said Adrian Ash, head of research at online marketplace BullionVault. “A wave of new first-time investing is driving this move in precious metals. It’s led by private investors across Asia and Europe, rushing to build their personal holdings of gold and silver.”

The rally has also spread across the wider precious metals complex. Silver pushed to record territory as well, reflecting both safe-haven flows and tight physical market conditions, while platinum and palladium climbed to multi-year highs as traders watched supply constraints and speculative demand.

Some banks and analysts are now openly discussing even higher price targets for 2026, with several forecasts clustering around the $5,700–$6,000 range — though they also warn that sharp pullbacks are possible after such a rapid climb.

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